All this talk of new tigers pushing forward neglects the profound cultural inhibitions that will only hold back places such as India.
While it is touted as 'booming' and the only place to be, & that will eclipse the moribund developed world, it is also true that it is undeveloped not for reasons of underinvestment but of misplaced, inefficient investment. Of course, its demographic profile and the emergence of a moneyed middle class points to that cusp of growth that hot capital loves. So it will grow, but..
The following article expresses what I have felt about the place, that the lack of maintenance, itself a function of a society with differently prioritised responsibilities, will contain the seeds of its failure to capitalise on present opportunities.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid= ... jvqYhd99xo
India Must End `Build-Neglect-Rebuild' Culture: Andy Mukherjee
Aug. 3 (Bloomberg)
-- The World Bank calls it India's ``Build-Neglect-Rebuild'' model.
It's a malaise that plagues the delivery of transportation, electricity, water and most other services that the Indian government provides -- or, more appropriately, attempts to provide -- to its citizens.
Typically, the charges that users pay for a service cover only a fraction of the operational and maintenance costs.
A perverse sense of social justice ensures that most of the shortfall faced by state-owned utilities -- including the wages of their surplus manpower -- is recouped from taxpayers.
In the bargain, no one pays for the replacement of aging, badly maintained assets, such as the 100-year-old rain sewers of Mumbai. It's only when the neglect becomes unbearable for users that there's a desperate attempt to rebuild the service -- with no effort to change the conditions responsible for its decline.
Fixing this culture of neglect will not only improve the quality of government services in India, it will also bring the country much-needed private investments in infrastructure -- roads, ports, bridges, highways and urban services.
This is one of the crucial findings of a recent World Bank study, titled ``India: Inclusive Growth and Service Delivery.''
The bank's researchers estimate that if private investments in infrastructure were to rise to 3 percent of gross domestic product, from an average of 1 percent in the past 10 years, India would get about $20 billion a year, an amount that could considerably ease the country's woeful shortage in that area.
Anti-Poor
And those who aren't able to pay the full cost of a good- quality service won't lose if their access to a water tap or an electricity connection is directly subsidized by better-off consumers. In fact, they would stand to gain because being indirectly -- and inefficiently -- compensated by taxpayers actually hurts the interests of the poor.
The current system, political rhetoric notwithstanding, is blatantly anti-poor.
Marginal farmers in India spend a 10th of their gross income on rewiring irrigation pumps that get burnt out because of voltage fluctuations in the erratic power supply they receive from bankrupt utilities.
The ``free electricity'' that politicians routinely dish out to villagers to win their votes is free only for big landowners, for whom the cost of repairing motors is negligible in proportion to income. Meanwhile, taxpayers' largesse keeps afloat power utilities whose annual losses exceed 1 percent of the country's GDP.
Similarly, slum-dwellers in New Delhi pay $3.50 a month to collect water. Most of this expense is accounted for by the opportunity cost of the time they have to spend queuing up at public taps, the bank's research shows.
Private Investments
Privatizing the delivery of water need not work against the poor. The 1997 renegotiation of the water contract in Buenos Aires shows that a fee can be levied on all consumers to keep connection costs low for the poor.
At the same time, stringent norms on the quality of water supplied by the concessionaire can reduce water-borne diseases and the attendant risk of child mortality, as has happened with private water supply in Argentina, the World Bank says.
Private participation in Indian infrastructure has the potential to become an important source of financing. In August last year, the government announced rules for ``viability-gap funding,'' or the monetary support it would provide to private entrepreneurs who undertake infrastructure investments.
Last week, the Finance Ministry said that out of the 21 proposals it had received so far for viability-gap funding in transportation, power and urban services, it had identified 12 road projects that would receive $114 million of public money.
The private sector, which will build, maintain and operate the roads, will invest the remaining $444 million.
Viability-Gap Funding
This is a good start, the World Bank says, though India may need to create a national organization to run the viability-gap fund and help transfer best practices in project design and management to state and municipal governments, which may lack the technical capacity to benefit from private investments.
Even after many successes, private investment in urban infrastructure has earned a bad name in Latin America, which in the 1990s was the biggest recipient of non-state capital in utilities. India, which in 2004 overtook Brazil and China in attracting private investments in infrastructure, has a good opportunity to learn from the errors other governments made in executing the projects and communicating their benefits.
Ultimately, it's impossible to run a decent utility unless users are made to pay for what they get.
Even the most foolproof of concession agreements won't work if the organs of the state -- regulatory, executive and judicial -- renege upon their obligations to enforce rules, especially in restricting the availability of substitute goods to customers who have the ability to pay for quality.
`Few Incentives'
Why should the urban rich in India bother about the sorry state of publicly funded educational institutes, hospitals or municipal water supply when they have already made substantial personal investments in alternative arrangements -- private schools, nursing homes and tube-wells?
``There are few incentives,'' the World Bank report notes grimly, ``for more privileged citizens to mobilize in favor of radical reforms.''
The state's neglect of infrastructure services has made the citizens apathetic. And that has given the government some room to be even more slipshod. One of India's foremost challenges is to break this vicious cycle.
(Andy Mukherjee is a Bloomberg News columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.)
