Time to GO GOLD

Share market related discussions

Re: Time to GO GOLD

Postby donaldbeckon » Thu Sep 02, 2010 7:06 pm

I don't think this is right to invest on gold as it seems that the stock market will fall because the companies costs will rise and profits will fall. So may be after January it will be good to invest on gold.
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Re: Time to GO GOLD

Postby muhaha » Fri Sep 03, 2010 12:28 pm

Lihir gone to Newcrest, Now Andean is in play.

seems like consolidation in the Gold sector happening rapidly .

Problem i am facing is that all the gold stocks i have held now have been taken out, It is a good problem to have :shock: , but now to search for a new bunch

let me see now SGX, LGL , DIO , AND. Now left with AVO and NCM
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Re: Time to GO GOLD

Postby J. Pathe » Fri Sep 03, 2010 5:33 pm

Muhaha,

Have a look at Saracen SAR, made a new high today on good volume may have finally broken out...

Cheers
JP
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Re: Time to GO GOLD

Postby sockeye » Sat Sep 04, 2010 11:33 am

muhaha wrote:...let me see now SGX, LGL , DIO , AND. Now left with AVO and NCM
Agree with you on AVO. Also I have begun to get interested in IAU Intrepid Mines. Operations in Australia and international, especially a big project in Indonesia.
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Re: Time to GO GOLD

Postby muhaha » Wed Sep 15, 2010 9:18 am

Not really happy with Anatolia and Avoca marriage, seems like Anatolia got the better deal. But Gold is at an all time high - (not adjusted for inflation ) , there will be a lot of happy gold bugs out there, including myself
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Re: Time to GO GOLD

Postby hybridbloke » Tue Aug 09, 2011 7:17 am

dug up gold at highs.

aussie dollar down.

gold producers crunched in the shareprice department.

confidence shot across the board.
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Re: Time to GO GOLD

Postby muhaha » Thu Aug 11, 2011 6:04 pm

dont think its time to go gold right now. Went to buy a ABC bullion shop to buy a small present for a sibling and at 3 pm today the line was 20 deep. I thought i was in the wrong place, "you guys buying concert tickets?" i asked ? no - i have never had to line up to buy the yellow metal. the wait time was 40 minutes.i decided to leave . i guess the sibling will just have to settle for a ipod or something... maybe i should have sold some swiss PAMPs to the guys lined up - opened a secondary market ... :shock:
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Re: Time to GO GOLD

Postby benthonic » Thu Aug 11, 2011 10:06 pm

ah... GOLD: poor investment; great insurance

only in the last week to 10 days, and even then not entirely consistently, but enough to be ahead if fortune and timing had swung your way, has the POG in USD rose as the AUD dropped. This has not been the case before, for much of the previous 12 months..
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Re: Time to GO GOLD

Postby benthonic » Mon Sep 26, 2011 3:57 pm

benthonic wrote:ah... GOLD: poor investment; great insurance


USD price of gold down $60 to sub $1,600

lots of red on screen - most gold miners down 10% or more
a view:
- gold performs better in depression or hyper-inflation
- gold performs worse in disinflation environment.
- judging by all big central banks' actions and with long slow deleveraging by private sector, probably heading to disinflation environment for next few years
- and the usual clowns with derivatives / geared plays getting out (too late, my dears) exacerbating the selldown

and from 1999 http://www.usagold.com/greenspanderivatives.html
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Re: Time to GO GOLD

Postby benthonic » Tue Sep 27, 2011 8:01 am

.....The recent volatility in the precious metals markets demonstrates, once again, that financial assets are volatile assets. And many financial assets — like gold and silver — have become increasingly volatile, thanks to the manic, short-term trading activity of large hedge funds and other institutional traders.

Unfortunately, in a market as small as the gold and silver markets, the trading activities of a few big players can produce extremely volatile effects.

“The amount of paper gold and silver contracts that trade on the futures and equities exchanges still dwarf the amount of actual physical trading that takes place,” gold market experts, Eric Sprott and David Baker recently observed. “Paper markets continue to set price discovery — thereby allowing for dramatic volatility with little or no influence from actual physical fundamentals. In the London Bullion Market, for example, market participants traded an average 19.6 million ounces of gold per day in July 2011. Keep in mind that the total gold mine production in 2010, globally, was approximately 86.5 million ounces.

“Global gold mine production is not expected to increase significantly year-over-year,” Sprott and Baker continue, “so the London Bullion Market is essentially trading a year’s worth of production in less than a week. And this is just one market. When you add the COMEX futures and gold ETFs, the paper trading volume becomes absurdly high. When price discovery is dictated by levered paper contracts with no physical backing, it’s extremely easy and relatively inexpensive to jostle the spot price around. The result for gold has been many days of extreme downside volatility, despite a strong and consistent overall upward trend.”

In other words, when very large investors (with very short-term investment horizons) become the dominant price setters in the market, the process of price discovery can feel a lot like a price lobotomy...
from The Daily Reckoning
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Re: Time to GO GOLD

Postby hybridbloke » Mon Nov 07, 2011 11:16 pm

was at a send off recently for a bloke who had been working at the ballarat gold mine. everyone got to write a small personal message in texta on the passed out body of the miner[they are the backbone of our country].

i thought the troubles of cgt were well known,so was surprised to see the savaging of the shareprice today.still dunno if it is value, but in this market others preferred. gold down there, but the money it will take to get it is frightening.

might get a min. to qualify for the inevitable cap raising. might not even do that. going from 40 cents to mid teens overnight doesn't make for good headology
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